These votes represent more than 45% of registered voters nationwide. Eighteen states and Washington, DC, have seen more than half of their registered voters cast ballots already.
Nationwide, the 95.5 million ballots already cast represents 70% of the more than 136.5 million ballots cast in the 2016 presidential election.
Trump will also stop in North Carolina, Michigan and Wisconsin on Monday. Biden will stump in Ohio as well.
More than 14 million ballots have already been cast in these five states, which could be crucial in determining the next president.
With just one more day until November 3, here’s a deeper look at who’s already voted in these key states, with data from Catalist, a company that provides data, analytics and other services to Democrats, academics and nonprofit issue-advocacy organizations.
Democrats have dominated the pre-election vote in the Keystone State. They currently make up 66% of those ballots. The state expanded mail voting options to all voters for the first time. Polling shows Republicans nationwide strongly prefer to vote in person on Election Day, which the Trump campaign thinks will be enough to recapture the state’s 20 electoral votes.
A significant majority of ballots cast so far in Pennsylvania — 82% — come from White voters. Black voters make up the second largest share of those early ballots at 11%, followed by Hispanic voters at 4% and Asian voters at 3%.
So far, 13% of Pennsylvania’s early voters are under 30, and 38% are 65 or older. More younger voters have been casting ballots in Pennsylvania as the campaign comes to a close. Last week, 11% of the commonwealth’s voters were under 30, and 42% were 65 or older.
Pennsylvania has the largest share of ballots cast from women out of all the key states for which Catalist has data on gender. Women in Pennsylvania account for nearly 57% of ballots already cast, and men account for about 43%.
Democrats hold a smaller lead over Republicans in pre-election ballots cast than they did on the day before the 2016 election. Back then, they had an eight-point lead. Currently, it’s six points, with Democrats at 37% and Republicans at 31%.
Trump ultimately won the state by a little less than four points in 2016.
Younger voters make up a larger share of North Carolina’s early voters this year than at this point in 2016. Fifteen percent of the state’s early voters so far are under 30, almost double the 8% at this time four years ago. That number continues to grow. One week ago, voters under 30 made up 12% of North Carolina’s early voters.
Black voters comprise about 21% of pre-Election Day ballots, down almost two percentage points from this time in 2016. Hispanic voters and Asian voters have seen very slight upticks in their shares of the early vote compared to four years ago.
Almost 56% of ballots already cast come from women in the Tar Heel State, and men comprise about 44%. This is roughly on par with the gender breakdown at this point in 2016.
Voters under 30 have more than tripled their share of the pre-election vote compared to this time in 2016. Currently, they make up 10% of those ballots.
Black voters have expanded their share of pre-Election Day ballots cast from about 9% at this time in 2016 to 12% currently.
Hispanic voters and Asian voters have also seen one-percentage-point upticks in each of their shares of those early votes.
At 83% of early voters so far, White voters make up a smaller share of the early voting electorate compared to the 88% they were at this point in 2016.
Michigan has the third largest share of ballots cast from women out of all the key states with gender data available from Catalist. Slightly more than 56% of ballots cast so far in the Wolverine State are from women and almost 44% are from men. At this point four years ago, women comprised almost 58% of pre-Election Day ballots and men comprised about 42%.
Wisconsin has seen a large decrease in the share of early votes from people 65 or older, but the state hasn’t seen as much of an increase from voters under 30. Seniors went from 46% of the early vote in 2016 to 33% now. Voters under 30 made up only 4% of pre-Election Day voters four years ago but now make up 6%. More voters’ ages are unknown this cycle than four years ago.
By race, Wisconsin’s early voters are similar to that of four years ago, with White voters representing the vast majority — about 88% — of those who’ve cast their ballots so far. Black voters represent about 5% of those early voters, Hispanic voters 3% and Asian voters 2% — all on par with this time in 2016.
Biden will make a stop in Cleveland Monday as his campaign makes a last-minute push in a traditional swing state that former President Barack Obama won twice but Trump won by eight points in 2016.
Younger Ohioans have increased their share of the early vote from 7% at this point in 2016 to about 12% now. These voters below the age of 30 have also continued to turn out during the last week of the campaign — one week ago, they made up 9% of early voters.